Soccer Transfers

Where will Rafael Leao transfer?

Where will Rafael Leao transfer?. Closes June 15. Leaders: No at 96%, Yes at 4%.

This market will resolve to the next team Rafael Leao officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Rafael Leao does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "AC Milan". If Rafael Leao joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Rafael Leao is released, retires, or is not under...

Volume (30d)
$856
Open interest
$897
Closes
TBD
Outcomes
20

Price history

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The book

Live odds

Outcome Price Bid / Ask Implied 24h move 30d volume
Yes
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?
0.037 0.035/0.040
0.5¢
3.8%
$856
No
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?
0.963 0.960/0.965
0.5¢
96.2%
$856
Yes
Will Rafael Leao join Manchester United?
0.445 0.020/0.870
85.0¢
44.5%
-2.5% $0
No
Will Rafael Leao join Manchester United?
0.555 0.130/0.980
85.0¢
55.5%
+2.5% $0
Yes
Will Rafael Leao join Al-Hilal?
0.093 0.031/0.156
12.5¢
9.3%
+6.6% $0
No
Will Rafael Leao join Al-Hilal?
0.906 0.844/0.969
12.5¢
90.6%
-6.6% $0
Yes
Will Rafael Leao join Bayern Munich?
0.038 0.008/0.069
6.1¢
3.9%
-0.7% $0
No
Will Rafael Leao join Bayern Munich?
0.962 0.931/0.992
6.1¢
96.2%
+0.7% $0
Yes
Will Rafael Leao join Chelsea?
0.413 0.026/0.800
77.4¢
41.3%
+32.5% $0
No
Will Rafael Leao join Chelsea?
0.587 0.200/0.974
77.4¢
58.7%
-32.5% $0
Yes
Will Rafael Leao join Paris Saint-Germain?
0.054 0.009/0.100
9.1¢
5.5%
-0.7% $0
No
Will Rafael Leao join Paris Saint-Germain?
0.946 0.900/0.991
9.1¢
94.5%
+0.7% $0
Yes
Will Rafael Leao join Inter Milan?
0.002 0.001/0.002
0.1¢
0.1%
$0
No
Will Rafael Leao join Inter Milan?
0.999 0.998/0.999
0.1¢
99.9%
$0
Yes
Will Rafael Leao join Barcelona?
0.050 0.030/0.070
4.0¢
5.0%
$0
No
Will Rafael Leao join Barcelona?
0.950 0.930/0.970
4.0¢
95.0%
$0
Yes
Will Rafael Leao join Liverpool?
0.460 0.050/0.870
82.0¢
46.0%
+2.5% $0
No
Will Rafael Leao join Liverpool?
0.540 0.130/0.950
82.0¢
54.0%
-2.5% $0
Yes
Will Rafael Leao join Arsenal?
0.034 0.008/0.060
5.2¢
3.4%
-0.1% $0
No
Will Rafael Leao join Arsenal?
0.966 0.940/0.992
5.2¢
96.6%
+0.1% $0

Order book

Yes mid spread
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No mid spread
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About this market

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Each outcome is a share that pays $1 if it wins. A price of 0.65 means the market thinks there is a 65% chance. Prices are the live midpoint of Polymarket's order book.

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