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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Volume (30d)
$527.9k
Open interest
$167.7k
Closes
Oct 31, 2026
Outcomes
48

Price history

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The book

Live odds

Outcome Price Bid / Ask Implied 24h move 30d volume
Yes
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.089 0.088/0.090
0.2¢
 8.9%
+0.1% $155.0k
No
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.911 0.910/0.912
0.2¢
 91.1%
-0.1% $155.0k
Yes
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.361 0.355/0.368
1.3¢
 36.1%
+0.6% $66.0k
No
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.638 0.632/0.645
1.3¢
 63.8%
-0.6% $66.0k
Yes
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.190 0.180/0.200
2.0¢
 19.0%
+1.0% $47.6k
No
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.810 0.800/0.820
2.0¢
 81.0%
-1.0% $47.6k
Yes
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.120 0.110/0.130
2.0¢
 12.0%
$44.2k
No
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.880 0.870/0.890
2.0¢
 88.0%
$44.2k
Yes
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.030 0.030/0.031
0.1¢
 3.0%
$30.5k
No
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.970 0.969/0.970
0.1¢
 97.0%
$30.5k
Yes
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.085 0.080/0.090
1.0¢
 8.5%
+0.5% $30.2k
No
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.915 0.910/0.920
1.0¢
 91.5%
-0.5% $30.2k
Yes
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.030 0.030/0.031
0.1¢
 3.0%
$26.1k
No
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.970 0.969/0.970
0.1¢
 97.0%
$26.1k
Yes
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.017 0.016/0.018
0.2¢
 1.7%
+0.1% $25.5k
No
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.983 0.982/0.984
0.2¢
 98.3%
-0.1% $25.5k
Yes
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.029 0.027/0.030
0.3¢
 2.9%
-0.1% $19.9k
No
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.972 0.970/0.973
0.3¢
 97.2%
+0.1% $19.9k
Yes
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.003 0.002/0.003
0.1¢
 0.2%
$15.2k
No
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.998 0.997/0.998
0.1¢
 99.8%
$15.2k
Yes
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.004 0.004/0.005
0.1¢
 0.4%
+0.1% $14.4k
No
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.996 0.995/0.996
0.1¢
 99.6%
-0.1% $14.4k
Yes
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.003 0.002/0.003
0.1¢
 0.2%
$14.3k
No
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.998 0.997/0.998
0.1¢
 99.8%
$14.3k
Yes
Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.003 0.002/0.004
0.2¢
 0.3%
+0.1% $12.5k
No
Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.997 0.996/0.998
0.2¢
 99.7%
-0.1% $12.5k
Yes
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.009 0.008/0.009
0.1¢
 0.9%
$10.8k
No
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.992 0.991/0.992
0.1¢
 99.2%
$10.8k
Yes
Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.002 0.001/0.002
0.1¢
 0.1%
$9.6k
No
Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.999 0.998/0.999
0.1¢
 99.9%
$9.6k
Yes
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.002 0.001/0.002
0.1¢
 0.1%
$6.1k
No
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.999 0.998/0.999
0.1¢
 99.9%
$6.1k
Yes
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.007 0.007/0.008
0.1¢
 0.8%
$0
No
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.993 0.992/0.993
0.1¢
 99.2%
$0
Yes
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.011 0.011/0.012
0.1¢
 1.1%
$0
No
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.989 0.988/0.989
0.1¢
 98.9%
$0
Yes
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.003 0.002/0.003
0.1¢
 0.2%
$0
No
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.998 0.997/0.998
0.1¢
 99.8%
$0
Yes
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.015 0.011/0.018
0.7¢
 1.5%
+0.2% $0
No
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.986 0.982/0.989
0.7¢
 98.6%
-0.2% $0
Yes
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.007 0.005/0.009
0.4¢
 0.7%
$0
No
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.993 0.991/0.995
0.4¢
 99.3%
$0
Yes
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.023 0.017/0.029
1.2¢
 2.3%
$0
No
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.977 0.971/0.983
1.2¢
 97.7%
$0
Yes
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.004 0.004/0.005
0.1¢
 0.4%
$0
No
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.996 0.995/0.996
0.1¢
 99.6%
$0
Yes
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.011 0.010/0.011
0.1¢
 1.1%
$0
No
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
 0.990 0.989/0.990
0.1¢
 99.0%
$0

Order book live depth, top 5 levels

Yes mid — spread —
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No mid — spread —
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About this market

Each outcome is a share that pays $1 if it wins. A price of 0.65 means the market thinks there is a 65% chance. Prices are the live midpoint of Polymarket's order book.

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