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2026 FIFA World Cup

32 teams, 64 matches, three host countries. Live odds on every outright, group winner, and top-scorer race.

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Tournament winner $1.80B traded in the last 30 days

1 France 27.3% 2 Argentina 19.5% 3 Spain 11.2% 4 England 10.2% 5 Brazil 7.0% 6 Portugal 6.1% 7 Morocco 4.0% 8 USA 2.8% 9 Colombia 2.8% 10 Norway 2.1% 11 Mexico 1.6% 12 Belgium 1.4% 13 Switzerland 0.9% 14 Ecuador 0.5% 15 Senegal 0.4% 16 Ivory Coast 0.4% 17 Croatia 0.4% 18 Paraguay 0.2% 19 Canada 0.2% 20 Egypt 0.1% 21 Algeria 0.1% 22 Sweden 0.1% 23 Australia 0.1% 24 Austria 0.1% 25 Congo DR 0.1% 26 Cape Verde 0.1% 27 Netherlands 0.1% 28 Ghana 0.1% 29 Bosnia-Herzegovina 0.1%
Every team's odds › Top scorer race ›

Group stage

Click a group for full per-team odds, group-winner prices, and reach-knockouts probabilities.

Group A Group B Group C Group D Group E Group F Group G Group H Group I Group J Group K Group L

The field, by tier grouped by implied probability

Top tier

10% or higher

4 teams, led by France at 27.3%.

  • France27.3%
  • Argentina19.5%
  • Spain11.2%
  • England10.2%

Second tier

5 to 10%

2 teams, led by Brazil at 7.0%.

  • Brazil7.0%
  • Portugal6.1%

Dark horses

2 to 5%

4 teams, led by Morocco at 4.0%.

  • Morocco4.0%
  • USA2.8%
  • Colombia2.8%
  • Norway2.1%

Longshots

below 2%

19 teams, led by Mexico at 1.6%.

  • Mexico1.6%
  • Belgium1.4%
  • Switzerland0.9%
  • Ecuador0.5%
  • Senegal0.4%
  • Ivory Coast0.4%
  • Croatia0.4%
  • Paraguay0.2%
  • Canada0.2%
  • Egypt0.1%
  • Algeria0.1%
  • Sweden0.1%
  • Australia0.1%
  • Austria0.1%
  • Congo DR0.1%
  • Cape Verde0.1%
  • Netherlands0.1%
  • Ghana0.1%
  • Bosnia-Herzegovina0.1%

Other World Cup markets

How to read these prices

Each contender's price is what the market pays for a $1 share if they lift the trophy. A price of 0.18 means the market gives Brazil an 18% chance of winning. Add every team's price together and you get close to $1, with the small overshoot covering the spread.

Click into a row to trade. Your wallet signs the order. We forward it to Polymarket with our builder fee attached.