2026 FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

World Cup: Nation to Reach Final. Closes July 20. Leaders: No at 94%, Yes at 6%. 30-day volume: $3.24M.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the...

Volume (30d)
$3.24M
Open interest
$1.53M
Closes
Jul 20, 2026
Outcomes
58

Price history

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The book

Live odds

Outcome Price Bid / Ask Implied 24h move 30d volume
Yes
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.061 0.060/0.063
0.3¢
6.2%
-0.4% $627.0k
No
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.939 0.937/0.940
0.3¢
93.8%
+0.4% $627.0k
Yes
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.425 0.420/0.430
1.0¢
42.5%
+6.0% $392.6k
No
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.575 0.570/0.580
1.0¢
57.5%
-6.0% $392.6k
Yes
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.395 0.390/0.400
1.0¢
39.5%
+1.0% $333.2k
No
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.605 0.600/0.610
1.0¢
60.5%
-1.0% $333.2k
Yes
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.052 0.052/0.053
0.1¢
5.2%
+0.1% $318.0k
No
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.948 0.947/0.948
0.1¢
94.8%
-0.1% $318.0k
Yes
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.098 0.097/0.099
0.2¢
9.8%
+5.2% $147.4k
No
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.902 0.901/0.903
0.2¢
90.2%
-5.2% $147.4k
Yes
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.215 0.210/0.220
1.0¢
21.5%
$144.9k
No
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.785 0.780/0.790
1.0¢
78.5%
$144.9k
Yes
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.125 0.120/0.130
1.0¢
12.5%
$137.6k
No
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.875 0.870/0.880
1.0¢
87.5%
$137.6k
Yes
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.055 0.050/0.060
1.0¢
5.5%
-2.0% $115.2k
No
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.945 0.940/0.950
1.0¢
94.5%
+2.0% $115.2k
Yes
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.101 0.099/0.103
0.4¢
10.1%
+1.1% $108.6k
No
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.899 0.897/0.901
0.4¢
89.9%
-1.1% $108.6k
Yes
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.220 0.210/0.230
2.0¢
22.0%
-0.5% $102.9k
No
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.780 0.770/0.790
2.0¢
78.0%
+0.5% $102.9k
Yes
Will Sweden reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.004 0.003/0.006
0.3¢
0.4%
-0.4% $82.0k
No
Will Sweden reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.996 0.994/0.997
0.3¢
99.6%
+0.4% $82.0k
Yes
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.001 -/-
0.1%
$81.2k
No
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
1.000 -/-
100.0%
$81.2k
Yes
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.175 0.170/0.180
1.0¢
17.5%
+2.0% $78.0k
No
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.825 0.820/0.830
1.0¢
82.5%
-2.0% $78.0k
Yes
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.032 0.031/0.032
0.1¢
3.1%
-0.9% $36.2k
No
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.969 0.968/0.969
0.1¢
96.9%
+0.9% $36.2k
Yes
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.032 0.029/0.035
0.6¢
3.2%
+0.1% $34.0k
No
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.968 0.965/0.971
0.6¢
96.8%
-0.1% $34.0k
Yes
Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.022 0.018/0.027
0.9¢
2.2%
+0.1% $30.9k
No
Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.978 0.973/0.982
0.9¢
97.8%
-0.1% $30.9k
Yes
Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.018 0.017/0.020
0.3¢
1.8%
$26.0k
No
Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.982 0.980/0.983
0.3¢
98.2%
$26.0k
Yes
Will Cape Verde reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.002 0.001/0.002
0.1¢
0.1%
-0.8% $22.2k
No
Will Cape Verde reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.999 0.998/0.999
0.1¢
99.9%
+0.8% $22.2k
Yes
Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.019 0.019/0.020
0.1¢
1.9%
+1.0% $19.1k
No
Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.981 0.980/0.981
0.1¢
98.0%
-1.0% $19.1k
Yes
Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.015 0.015/0.016
0.1¢
1.6%
-0.5% $18.4k
No
Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.985 0.984/0.985
0.1¢
98.5%
+0.5% $18.4k
Yes
Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.015 0.014/0.016
0.2¢
1.5%
+0.3% $16.6k
No
Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.985 0.984/0.986
0.2¢
98.5%
-0.3% $16.6k
Yes
Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.010 0.003/0.017
1.4¢
1.0%
-0.8% $15.2k
No
Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.990 0.983/0.997
1.4¢
99.0%
+0.8% $15.2k
Yes
Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.011 0.010/0.013
0.3¢
1.1%
-0.4% $14.0k
No
Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.989 0.987/0.990
0.3¢
98.9%
+0.4% $14.0k
Yes
Will Australia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.014 0.012/0.016
0.4¢
1.4%
-0.4% $11.5k
No
Will Australia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.986 0.984/0.988
0.4¢
98.6%
+0.4% $11.5k
Yes
Will Algeria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.017 0.016/0.017
0.1¢
1.7%
+0.4% $11.3k
No
Will Algeria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.984 0.983/0.984
0.1¢
98.4%
-0.4% $11.3k
Yes
Will Austria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.009 0.003/0.014
1.1¢
0.9%
-0.5% $10.9k
No
Will Austria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.992 0.986/0.997
1.1¢
99.2%
+0.5% $10.9k
Yes
Will Ghana reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.011 0.007/0.016
0.9¢
1.1%
$7.1k
No
Will Ghana reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.989 0.984/0.993
0.9¢
98.9%
$7.1k
Yes
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.004 0.001/0.008
0.7¢
0.4%
$6.5k
No
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.996 0.992/0.999
0.7¢
99.6%
$6.5k
Yes
Will DR Congo reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.005 0.002/0.008
0.6¢
0.5%
+0.3% $4.9k
No
Will DR Congo reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
0.995 0.992/0.998
0.6¢
99.5%
-0.3% $4.9k

Order book

Yes mid spread
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No mid spread
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About this market

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Each outcome is a share that pays $1 if it wins. A price of 0.65 means the market thinks there is a 65% chance. Prices are the live midpoint of Polymarket's order book.

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