2026 World Cup top scorer odds

Live Polymarket odds on every contender for top goalscorer, most goal contributions, and most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Updated tick by tick from the order book.

Top goalscorer

Rank Player Implied
1 a player representing Argentina 52.5%
2 a player representing France 35.0%
3 a player representing Norway 4.5%
4 a player representing England 3.4%
5 a player representing Brazil 2.1%
6 a player representing Spain 1.8%
7 a player representing Portugal 1.2%
8 a player representing USA 0.7%
9 a player representing Canada 0.4%
10 a player representing Belgium 0.4%
11 a player representing Mexico 0.3%
12 a player representing Morocco 0.3%
13 a player representing Ivory Coast 0.2%
14 a player representing Colombia 0.2%
15 a player representing Croatia 0.1%
16 a player representing Paraguay 0.1%
17 a player representing Netherlands 0.1%
18 a player representing Sweden 0.1%
19 a player representing Switzerland 0.1%
20 a player representing Egypt 0.1%
21 a player representing Senegal 0.1%
22 a player representing Ecuador 0.1%
23 a player representing Algeria 0.1%
24 a player representing Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.1%
25 a player representing Australia 0.1%
26 a player representing Cape Verde 0.1%
27 a player representing Austria 0.1%
28 a player representing DR Congo 0.1%
29 a player representing Ghana 0.1%

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Most goal contributions

Rank Player Implied
1 Lionel Messi 38.5%
2 Kylian Mbappé 35.5%
3 Erling Haaland 7.5%
4 Jonathan David 5.1%
5 Harry Kane 4.3%
6 Lamine Yamal 3.6%
7 Cristiano Ronaldo 1.1%
8 Luis Díaz 0.9%
9 Mohamed Salah 0.6%
10 Enner Valencia 0.4%
11 Granit Xhaka 0.4%
12 Raphinha 0.4%
13 Ermedin Demirović 0.4%
14 Cody Gakpo 0.4%
15 Viktor Gyökeres 0.4%
16 Santiago Giménez 0.4%
17 Cédric Bakambu 0.4%
18 Christian Pulisic 0.4%
19 Lautaro Martínez 0.4%
20 Andrej Kramarić 0.3%

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Most assists

Rank Player Implied
1 Michael Olise 40.5%
2 Lamine Yamal 3.8%
3 Bukayo Saka 3.5%
4 Bruno Fernandes 3.0%
5 Rodrigo De Paul 2.5%
6 Martin Ødegaard 2.5%
7 Mohamed Salah 1.5%
8 Kevin De Bruyne 0.7%
9 Achraf Hakimi 0.5%
10 Riyad Mahrez 0.5%
11 Luka Modrić 0.5%
12 Raphinha 0.3%
13 Luis Díaz 0.2%
14 Ismaïla Sarr 0.2%
15 Marcel Sabitzer 0.1%
16 Alphonso Davies 0.1%
17 Simon Adingra 0.1%
18 Antonee Robinson 0.1%
19 Granit Xhaka 0.1%
20 Florian Wirtz 0.1%

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How these markets settle

Top goalscorer pays out on the player with the most goals scored across all 64 matches. Ties are broken by fewer minutes played, then by assists, per FIFA's tournament-wide tiebreaker rules. Goal contributions sums goals plus assists. Assists count primary assists only.

Trade these like any other market: your wallet signs the order, Polymarket settles on-chain when the cup ends.