2026 World Cup teams
Live tournament-winner odds for every nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, sourced from the Polymarket order book and updated tick by tick. Click into any team for their group-stage prices and a one-click trade.
Every team, ranked by tournament odds
1
France
27.3%
to win the cup
2
Argentina
19.5%
to win the cup
3
Spain
11.2%
to win the cup
4
England
10.2%
to win the cup
5
Brazil
7.0%
to win the cup
6
Portugal
6.1%
to win the cup
7
Morocco
4.0%
to win the cup
8
USA
2.8%
to win the cup
9
Colombia
2.8%
to win the cup
10
Norway
2.1%
to win the cup
11
Mexico
1.6%
to win the cup
12
Belgium
1.4%
to win the cup
13
Switzerland
0.9%
to win the cup
14
Ecuador
0.5%
to win the cup
15
Senegal
0.4%
to win the cup
16
Ivory Coast
0.4%
to win the cup
17
Croatia
0.4%
to win the cup
18
Paraguay
0.2%
to win the cup
19
Canada
0.2%
to win the cup
20
Egypt
0.1%
to win the cup
21
Algeria
0.1%
to win the cup
22
Sweden
0.1%
to win the cup
23
Australia
0.1%
to win the cup
24
Austria
0.1%
to win the cup
25
Congo DR
0.1%
to win the cup
26
Cape Verde
0.1%
to win the cup
27
Netherlands
0.1%
to win the cup
28
Ghana
0.1%
to win the cup
29
Bosnia-Herzegovina
0.1%
to win the cup
How these prices work
Each price is what the Polymarket order book is paying for a $1 share if the team wins. A 0.18 price means the market gives that team an 18% chance. If you sum every team's price you land near $1 — the small overshoot is the bid-ask spread. We pull these prices live; the number you see is the number an order would fill at.
Trading is non-custodial: your wallet signs every order, the funds never touch us, and a 0.5% builder fee on each trade is the only revenue we take.