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2026 FIFA World Cup

2026 FIFA World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the...

Volume (30d)
$900
Open interest
$1.8k
Closes
Jul 20, 2026
Outcomes
96

Price history

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The book

Live odds

Outcome Price Bid / Ask Implied 24h move 30d volume
Yes
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.041 0.012/0.069
5.7¢
 4.0%
-0.9% $900
No
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.960 0.931/0.988
5.7¢
 96.0%
+0.9% $900
Yes
Will South Korea reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.406 0.014/0.797
78.3¢
 40.6%
+20.5% $0
No
Will South Korea reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.595 0.203/0.986
78.3¢
 59.5%
-20.5% $0
Yes
Will Czechia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.052 0.005/0.100
9.5¢
 5.2%
+0.1% $0
No
Will Czechia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.948 0.900/0.995
9.5¢
 94.8%
-0.1% $0
Yes
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.065 0.020/0.110
9.0¢
 6.5%
+0.5% $0
No
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.935 0.890/0.980
9.0¢
 93.5%
-0.5% $0
Yes
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.056 0.011/0.100
8.9¢
 5.5%
+0.4% $0
No
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.945 0.900/0.989
8.9¢
 94.5%
-0.4% $0
Yes
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.070 0.020/0.120
10.0¢
 7.0%
+0.5% $0
No
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.930 0.880/0.980
10.0¢
 93.0%
-0.5% $0
Yes
Will Haiti reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.054 0.010/0.099
8.9¢
 5.5%
$0
No
Will Haiti reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.946 0.901/0.990
8.9¢
 94.5%
$0
Yes
Will Australia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.050 0.001/0.099
9.8¢
 5.0%
+0.2% $0
No
Will Australia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.950 0.901/0.999
9.8¢
 95.0%
-0.2% $0
Yes
Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.080 0.020/0.140
12.0¢
 8.0%
+0.5% $0
No
Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.920 0.860/0.980
12.0¢
 92.0%
-0.5% $0
Yes
Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.030 0.011/0.050
3.9¢
 3.0%
+0.1% $0
No
Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.970 0.950/0.989
3.9¢
 97.0%
-0.1% $0
Yes
Will Curacao reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.013 0.003/0.024
2.1¢
 1.4%
$0
No
Will Curacao reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.987 0.976/0.997
2.1¢
 98.7%
$0
Yes
Will South Africa reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.054 0.010/0.099
8.9¢
 5.5%
+0.4% $0
No
Will South Africa reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.946 0.901/0.990
8.9¢
 94.5%
-0.4% $0
Yes
Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.462 0.006/0.917
91.1¢
 46.2%
+26.1% $0
No
Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.538 0.083/0.994
91.1¢
 53.8%
-26.1% $0
Yes
Will Qatar reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.054 0.010/0.099
8.9¢
 5.5%
+0.4% $0
No
Will Qatar reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.946 0.901/0.990
8.9¢
 94.5%
-0.4% $0
Yes
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.245 0.120/0.370
25.0¢
 24.5%
+1.5% $0
No
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.755 0.630/0.880
25.0¢
 75.5%
-1.5% $0
Yes
Will Scotland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.079 0.010/0.147
13.7¢
 7.8%
$0
No
Will Scotland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.921 0.853/0.990
13.7¢
 92.2%
$0
Yes
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.065 0.030/0.100
7.0¢
 6.5%
+1.0% $0
No
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.935 0.900/0.970
7.0¢
 93.5%
-1.0% $0
Yes
Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.035 0.011/0.060
4.9¢
 3.5%
+0.1% $0
No
Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.965 0.940/0.989
4.9¢
 96.5%
-0.1% $0
Yes
Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.175 0.110/0.240
13.0¢
 17.5%
$0
No
Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.825 0.760/0.890
13.0¢
 82.5%
$0
Yes
Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.007 0.004/0.010
0.6¢
 0.7%
$0
No
Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.993 0.990/0.996
0.6¢
 99.3%
$0
Yes
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.165 0.040/0.290
25.0¢
 16.5%
-0.5% $0
No
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.835 0.710/0.960
25.0¢
 83.5%
+0.5% $0
Yes
Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.055 0.020/0.090
7.0¢
 5.5%
+0.5% $0
No
Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.945 0.910/0.980
7.0¢
 94.5%
-0.5% $0
Yes
Will Sweden reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.090 0.020/0.160
14.0¢
 9.0%
+0.5% $0
No
Will Sweden reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.910 0.840/0.980
14.0¢
 91.0%
-0.5% $0
Yes
Will Iran reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.015 0.010/0.020
1.0¢
 1.5%
$0
No
Will Iran reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.985 0.980/0.990
1.0¢
 98.5%
$0
Yes
Will New Zealand reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.052 0.005/0.099
9.4¢
 5.2%
+0.6% $0
No
Will New Zealand reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.948 0.901/0.995
9.4¢
 94.8%
-0.6% $0
Yes
Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.060 0.020/0.100
8.0¢
 6.0%
+1.0% $0
No
Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.940 0.900/0.980
8.0¢
 94.0%
-1.0% $0
Yes
Will Cape Verde reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.051 0.010/0.092
8.2¢
 5.1%
+0.9% $0
No
Will Cape Verde reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.949 0.908/0.990
8.2¢
 94.9%
-0.9% $0
Yes
Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.050 0.030/0.070
4.0¢
 5.0%
+0.5% $0
No
Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.950 0.930/0.970
4.0¢
 95.0%
-0.5% $0
Yes
Will Iraq reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.055 0.010/0.100
9.0¢
 5.5%
$0
No
Will Iraq reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.945 0.900/0.990
9.0¢
 94.5%
$0
Yes
Will Austria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.406 0.015/0.798
78.3¢
 40.6%
+26.2% $0
No
Will Austria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.594 0.202/0.985
78.3¢
 59.4%
-26.2% $0
Yes
Will Jordan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.042 0.010/0.074
6.4¢
 4.2%
+0.2% $0
No
Will Jordan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.958 0.926/0.990
6.4¢
 95.8%
-0.2% $0
Yes
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.053 0.010/0.096
8.6¢
 5.3%
$0
No
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.947 0.904/0.990
8.6¢
 94.7%
$0
Yes
Will DR Congo reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.015 0.010/0.019
0.9¢
 1.5%
$0
No
Will DR Congo reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.986 0.981/0.990
0.9¢
 98.6%
$0
Yes
Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.105 0.020/0.190
17.0¢
 10.5%
$0
No
Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.895 0.810/0.980
17.0¢
 89.5%
$0
Yes
Will Ghana reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.015 0.010/0.020
1.0¢
 1.5%
$0
No
Will Ghana reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.985 0.980/0.990
1.0¢
 98.5%
$0
Yes
Will Tunisia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.015 0.010/0.020
1.0¢
 1.5%
$0
No
Will Tunisia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.985 0.980/0.990
1.0¢
 98.5%
$0
Yes
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.120 0.060/0.180
12.0¢
 12.0%
+1.0% $0
No
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.880 0.820/0.940
12.0¢
 88.0%
-1.0% $0
Yes
Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.055 0.010/0.100
9.0¢
 5.5%
$0
No
Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.945 0.900/0.990
9.0¢
 94.5%
$0
Yes
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.365 0.260/0.470
21.0¢
 36.5%
$0
No
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.635 0.530/0.740
21.0¢
 63.5%
$0
Yes
Will Saudi Arabia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.015 0.010/0.020
1.0¢
 1.5%
$0
No
Will Saudi Arabia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.985 0.980/0.990
1.0¢
 98.5%
$0
Yes
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.350 0.270/0.430
16.0¢
 35.0%
-0.5% $0
No
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.650 0.570/0.730
16.0¢
 65.0%
+0.5% $0
Yes
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.060 0.040/0.080
4.0¢
 6.0%
$0
No
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.940 0.920/0.960
4.0¢
 94.0%
$0
Yes
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.230 0.120/0.340
22.0¢
 23.0%
$0
No
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.770 0.660/0.880
22.0¢
 77.0%
$0
Yes
Will Algeria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.015 0.010/0.020
1.0¢
 1.5%
$0
No
Will Algeria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.985 0.980/0.990
1.0¢
 98.5%
$0
Yes
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.155 0.050/0.260
21.0¢
 15.5%
+1.5% $0
No
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.845 0.740/0.950
21.0¢
 84.5%
-1.5% $0
Yes
Will Uzbekistan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.024 0.005/0.042
3.7¢
 2.4%
-0.1% $0
No
Will Uzbekistan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.977 0.958/0.995
3.7¢
 97.7%
+0.1% $0
Yes
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.310 0.200/0.420
22.0¢
 31.0%
$0
No
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.690 0.580/0.800
22.0¢
 69.0%
$0
Yes
Will Panama reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.021 0.003/0.039
3.6¢
 2.1%
+0.1% $0
No
Will Panama reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
 0.979 0.961/0.997
3.6¢
 97.9%
-0.1% $0

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About this market

Each outcome is a share that pays $1 if it wins. A price of 0.65 means the market thinks there is a 65% chance. Prices are the live midpoint of Polymarket's order book.

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