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2026 FIFA World Cup

FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12,...

Volume (30d)
$200
Open interest
$308
Closes
Jun 28, 2026
Outcomes
96

Price history

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The book

Live odds

Outcome Price Bid / Ask Implied 24h move 30d volume
Yes
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.470 0.040/0.900
86.0¢
 47.0%
+41.5% $100
No
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.530 0.100/0.960
86.0¢
 53.0%
-41.5% $100
Yes
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.942 0.900/0.983
8.3¢
 94.2%
-2.1% $100
No
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.059 0.017/0.100
8.3¢
 5.9%
+2.1% $100
Yes
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.665 0.350/0.980
63.0¢
 66.5%
+1.5% $0
No
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.335 0.020/0.650
63.0¢
 33.5%
-1.5% $0
Yes
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.500 0.070/0.930
86.0¢
 50.0%
+1.5% $0
No
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.500 0.070/0.930
86.0¢
 50.0%
-1.5% $0
Yes
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.835 0.730/0.940
21.0¢
 83.5%
+0.5% $0
No
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.165 0.060/0.270
21.0¢
 16.5%
-0.5% $0
Yes
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA...
 0.485 0.040/0.930
89.0¢
 48.5%
$0
No
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA...
 0.515 0.070/0.960
89.0¢
 51.5%
$0
Yes
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.660 0.400/0.920
52.0¢
 66.0%
-1.5% $0
No
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.340 0.080/0.600
52.0¢
 34.0%
+1.5% $0
Yes
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.175 0.010/0.340
33.0¢
 17.5%
-0.5% $0
No
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.825 0.660/0.990
33.0¢
 82.5%
+0.5% $0
Yes
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.480 0.030/0.930
90.0¢
 48.0%
-1.0% $0
No
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.520 0.070/0.970
90.0¢
 52.0%
+1.0% $0
Yes
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.690 0.420/0.960
54.0¢
 69.0%
+1.5% $0
No
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.310 0.040/0.580
54.0¢
 31.0%
-1.5% $0
Yes
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.745 0.510/0.980
47.0¢
 74.5%
+0.5% $0
No
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.255 0.020/0.490
47.0¢
 25.5%
-0.5% $0
Yes
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.175 0.010/0.340
33.0¢
 17.5%
$0
No
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.825 0.660/0.990
33.0¢
 82.5%
$0
Yes
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.690 0.400/0.980
58.0¢
 69.0%
$0
No
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.310 0.020/0.600
58.0¢
 31.0%
$0
Yes
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.470 0.200/0.740
54.0¢
 47.0%
+8.0% $0
No
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.530 0.260/0.800
54.0¢
 53.0%
-8.0% $0
Yes
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.480 0.030/0.930
90.0¢
 48.0%
-2.0% $0
No
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.520 0.070/0.970
90.0¢
 52.0%
+2.0% $0
Yes
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.280 0.020/0.540
52.0¢
 28.0%
-1.0% $0
No
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.720 0.460/0.980
52.0¢
 72.0%
+1.0% $0
Yes
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.690 0.410/0.970
56.0¢
 69.0%
+1.0% $0
No
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.310 0.030/0.590
56.0¢
 31.0%
-1.0% $0
Yes
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.355 0.010/0.700
69.0¢
 35.5%
-0.5% $0
No
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.645 0.300/0.990
69.0¢
 64.5%
+0.5% $0
Yes
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.575 0.350/0.800
45.0¢
 57.5%
$0
No
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.425 0.200/0.650
45.0¢
 42.5%
$0
Yes
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.515 0.060/0.970
91.0¢
 51.5%
$0
No
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.485 0.030/0.940
91.0¢
 48.5%
$0
Yes
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.480 0.030/0.930
90.0¢
 48.0%
-0.5% $0
No
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.520 0.070/0.970
90.0¢
 52.0%
+0.5% $0
Yes
Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.745 0.520/0.970
45.0¢
 74.5%
+1.0% $0
No
Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.255 0.030/0.480
45.0¢
 25.5%
-1.0% $0
Yes
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.700 0.450/0.950
50.0¢
 70.0%
$0
No
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.300 0.050/0.550
50.0¢
 30.0%
$0
Yes
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.490 0.040/0.940
90.0¢
 49.0%
+1.5% $0
No
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.510 0.060/0.960
90.0¢
 51.0%
-1.5% $0
Yes
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.500 0.070/0.930
86.0¢
 50.0%
+1.5% $0
No
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.500 0.070/0.930
86.0¢
 50.0%
-1.5% $0
Yes
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.375 0.020/0.730
71.0¢
 37.5%
+0.5% $0
No
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.625 0.270/0.980
71.0¢
 62.5%
-0.5% $0
Yes
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.690 0.410/0.970
56.0¢
 69.0%
+0.5% $0
No
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.310 0.030/0.590
56.0¢
 31.0%
-0.5% $0
Yes
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.420 0.050/0.790
74.0¢
 42.0%
+0.5% $0
No
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.580 0.210/0.950
74.0¢
 58.0%
-0.5% $0
Yes
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.665 0.360/0.970
61.0¢
 66.5%
+1.0% $0
No
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.335 0.030/0.640
61.0¢
 33.5%
-1.0% $0
Yes
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.495 0.030/0.960
93.0¢
 49.5%
-0.5% $0
No
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.505 0.040/0.970
93.0¢
 50.5%
+0.5% $0
Yes
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.490 0.050/0.930
88.0¢
 49.0%
+0.5% $0
No
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.510 0.070/0.950
88.0¢
 51.0%
-0.5% $0
Yes
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.750 0.540/0.960
42.0¢
 75.0%
+1.0% $0
No
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.250 0.040/0.460
42.0¢
 25.0%
-1.0% $0
Yes
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.490 0.010/0.970
96.0¢
 49.0%
$0
No
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.510 0.030/0.990
96.0¢
 51.0%
$0
Yes
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.785 0.600/0.970
37.0¢
 78.5%
+0.5% $0
No
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.215 0.030/0.400
37.0¢
 21.5%
-0.5% $0
Yes
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.500 0.070/0.930
86.0¢
 50.0%
+1.5% $0
No
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.500 0.070/0.930
86.0¢
 50.0%
-1.5% $0
Yes
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.961 0.940/0.982
4.2¢
 96.1%
-0.1% $0
No
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.039 0.018/0.060
4.2¢
 3.9%
+0.1% $0
Yes
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.490 0.040/0.940
90.0¢
 49.0%
+0.5% $0
No
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.510 0.060/0.960
90.0¢
 51.0%
-0.5% $0
Yes
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.900 0.810/0.990
18.0¢
 90.0%
+2.0% $0
No
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.105 0.010/0.190
18.0¢
 10.5%
-2.0% $0
Yes
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.620 0.350/0.890
54.0¢
 62.0%
+2.0% $0
No
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.380 0.110/0.650
54.0¢
 38.0%
-2.0% $0
Yes
Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.695 0.430/0.970
54.0¢
 69.5%
+1.0% $0
No
Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.305 0.030/0.570
54.0¢
 30.5%
-1.0% $0
Yes
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.490 0.050/0.930
88.0¢
 49.0%
+1.0% $0
No
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.510 0.070/0.950
88.0¢
 51.0%
-1.0% $0
Yes
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.785 0.600/0.970
37.0¢
 78.5%
+1.0% $0
No
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.215 0.030/0.400
37.0¢
 21.5%
-1.0% $0
Yes
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.515 0.070/0.960
89.0¢
 51.5%
+1.5% $0
No
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.485 0.040/0.930
89.0¢
 48.5%
-1.5% $0
Yes
Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.850 0.760/0.940
18.0¢
 85.0%
$0
No
Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.150 0.060/0.240
18.0¢
 15.0%
$0
Yes
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.485 0.040/0.930
89.0¢
 48.5%
+1.0% $0
No
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.515 0.070/0.960
89.0¢
 51.5%
-1.0% $0
Yes
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.480 0.030/0.930
90.0¢
 48.0%
-0.5% $0
No
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.520 0.070/0.970
90.0¢
 52.0%
+0.5% $0
Yes
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.760 0.550/0.970
42.0¢
 76.0%
+1.0% $0
No
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.240 0.030/0.450
42.0¢
 24.0%
-1.0% $0
Yes
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.505 0.040/0.970
93.0¢
 50.5%
+0.5% $0
No
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
 0.495 0.030/0.960
93.0¢
 49.5%
-0.5% $0

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About this market

Each outcome is a share that pays $1 if it wins. A price of 0.65 means the market thinks there is a 65% chance. Prices are the live midpoint of Polymarket's order book.

Click Trade and your wallet signs the order. We forward it to Polymarket with our builder fee attached. The contracts handle the rest.